Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Wagner 49.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 92.8%
Defensive zone
Kempe 56.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 82.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Kempe
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Kempe
Wagner
Last 10: Kempe 3-7 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
1
Kempe
Wagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
5
Kempe
Wagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Wagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
50.8% (1,243)
-10.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
40.0% (20)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
42.0% (307)
+0.6%
On even strength, Wagner has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Kempe
Wagner
Home
42.4% (1,045)
49.8% (817)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
47.9% (753)
By Period
Kempe
Wagner
P1
39.5%
48.6%
P2
40.1%
48.6%
P3
42.2%
49.5%
OT
37.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 7, 2017 | OT | 00:23 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |