Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 49.2% vs Wagner 47.1% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 63.6%
Defensive zone
Wagner 81.0%
Neutral zone
Kempe 53.3%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Kempe
Wagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (17)
41.6% (77)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.6% (31)
+48.4%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Kempe is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Kempe shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Kempe
Wagner
Home
38.5% (13)
46.3% (54)
Away
54.5% (11)
42.6% (54)
By Period
Kempe
Wagner
P1
33.3%
48.6%
P2
42.9%
55.9%
P3
62.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
45.8%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%