Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Wagner 49.1% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 95.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 67.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 87.4%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Kempe
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Kempe
Wagner
Last 10: Kempe 2-8 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
1
Kempe
Wagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
5
Kempe
Wagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Wagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
51.5% (332)
-13.4%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
55.6% (9)
-13.5%
On power play, Wagner has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Kempe is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Kempe shoots left. Wagner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Home / Away
Kempe
Wagner
Home
39.1% (312)
49.8% (233)
Away
38.0% (371)
48.1% (237)
By Period
Kempe
Wagner
P1
39.4%
45.9%
P2
37.7%
47.8%
P3
39.0%
52.7%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
30.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 7, 2017 | OT | 00:23 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |