Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 45.8% vs Dvorak 51.9% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 56.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 71.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Kempe
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kempe
Dvorak
Last 8: Kempe 4-4 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Dvorak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
3
Kempe
Dvorak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
52.1% (714)
-12.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.7% (157)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
48.2% (191)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Kempe is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Kempe shoots left. Dvorak is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (835).
Home / Away
Kempe
Dvorak
Home
58.6% (29)
55.0% (516)
Away
25.6% (39)
49.3% (546)
By Period
Kempe
Dvorak
P1
36.4%
54.9%
P2
28.6%
51.1%
P3
54.2%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
36.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
39.7%
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |