Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Dvorak 51.8% (-20.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 56.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 73.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 54.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Kempe
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kempe
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
52.2% (686)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
53.5% (127)
-53.5%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Kempe is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Kempe shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Kempe
Dvorak
Home
11.1% (9)
54.1% (423)
Away
35.7% (42)
50.2% (494)
By Period
Kempe
Dvorak
P1
22.2%
51.4%
P2
33.3%
52.0%
P3
25.0%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
7.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |