Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Brassard 50.0% (-18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 68.1%
Defensive zone
Kempe 56.0%
Neutral zone
Kempe 64.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Kempe
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kempe
Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Kempe
Brassard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Kempe
Brassard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
49.6% (230)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (30)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Kempe is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Kempe shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Kempe
Brassard
Home
11.1% (9)
51.7% (143)
Away
35.7% (42)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Kempe
Brassard
P1
22.2%
46.4%
P2
33.3%
50.6%
P3
25.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
7.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
31.4%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |