Scouting Report
Dustin Penner holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Penner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Penner 43.3% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 59.4%
Defensive zone
Penner 50.7%
Neutral zone
Penner 54.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Kempe
Penner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Penner
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
40.7% (214)
-0.5%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
45.5% (112)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
36.7% (60)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Penner shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Kempe
Penner
Home
42.4% (1,045)
44.4% (207)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
38.3% (183)
By Period
Kempe
Penner
P1
39.5%
36.1%
P2
40.1%
36.6%
P3
42.2%
53.6%
OT
37.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%