Scouting Report
Dylan Gambrell holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gambrell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Gambrell 46.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 90.5%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 68.6%
Neutral zone
Kempe 68.4%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Kempe
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kempe
Gambrell
Last 9: Kempe 3-6 Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Gambrell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
4
Kempe
Gambrell
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
47.4% (1,627)
-7.2%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
36.4% (33)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
40.4% (314)
+2.2%
On even strength, Gambrell has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Home / Away
Kempe
Gambrell
Home
42.4% (1,045)
44.3% (994)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
48.1% (980)
By Period
Kempe
Gambrell
P1
39.5%
44.3%
P2
40.1%
49.8%
P3
42.2%
44.5%
OT
37.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
37.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |