Adrian Kempe vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +21.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 26.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Pageau 58.8% (-21.7%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 76.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 80.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 62.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Kempe
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (86)
59.2% (502)
-19.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
69.6% (23)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
61.3% (163)
-28.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kempe is 26.1% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Kempe shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Kempe
Pageau
Home
38.9% (54)
59.5% (299)
Away
37.7% (61)
60.4% (389)
By Period
Kempe
Pageau
P1
40.5%
55.3%
P2
38.5%
62.2%
P3
33.3%
61.1%
OT
42.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
38.3%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%