Adrian Kempe vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +23.8% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Pageau 58.8% (-23.8%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 75.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 62.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Kempe
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
59.1% (687)
-20.9%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
69.4% (36)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
60.1% (213)
-35.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Kempe
Pageau
Home
36.4% (66)
57.8% (377)
Away
35.5% (76)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Kempe
Pageau
P1
37.3%
54.1%
P2
36.7%
62.1%
P3
31.4%
61.8%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%