Adrian Kempe vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Pageau 53.2% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 59.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Kempe
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kempe
Pageau
Last 5: Kempe 3-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Kempe
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
54.9% (384)
-12.3%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
40.7% (27)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
52.9% (70)
-8.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kempe is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (252).
Kempe shoots left. Pageau is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Kempe
Pageau
Home
43.6% (369)
55.4% (222)
Away
41.6% (370)
52.5% (259)
By Period
Kempe
Pageau
P1
40.0%
55.3%
P2
44.3%
55.2%
P3
43.6%
51.1%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |