Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Larsson 49.5% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 82.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 87.3%
Neutral zone
Larsson 53.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Kempe
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Kempe
Larsson
Last 10: Kempe 8-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
6
1
Kempe
Larsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
6
Kempe
Larsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
4
3
Kempe
Larsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
50.5% (4,382)
-10.3%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
47.7% (153)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
43.8% (714)
-1.2%
On even strength, Larsson has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Kempe
Larsson
Home
42.4% (1,045)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Kempe
Larsson
P1
39.5%
51.6%
P2
40.1%
49.7%
P3
42.2%
47.2%
OT
37.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
37.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |