Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Larsson 46.9% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 67.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 76.6%
Neutral zone
Larsson 56.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Kempe
Larsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
46.7% (345)
+0.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
61.1% (18)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
39.0% (59)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Kempe
Larsson
Home
60.0% (25)
52.1% (167)
Away
40.0% (25)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Kempe
Larsson
P1
57.9%
50.0%
P2
40.0%
46.7%
P3
50.0%
42.6%
Final 5 min
30.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
50.0%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%