Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 45.8% vs Larsson 48.8% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 59.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 92.3%
Neutral zone
Larsson 72.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Kempe
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kempe
Larsson
Last 6: Kempe 5-1 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
0
Kempe
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Kempe
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
50.2% (504)
-10.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
33.3% (9)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
41.7% (96)
-8.4%
On power play, Kempe has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Kempe is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Kempe shoots left. Larsson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Home / Away
Kempe
Larsson
Home
58.6% (29)
48.2% (272)
Away
25.6% (39)
49.0% (337)
By Period
Kempe
Larsson
P1
36.4%
48.6%
P2
28.6%
56.1%
P3
54.2%
41.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.7%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |