Scouting Report
Josh Jooris holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.1% vs Jooris 48.0% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 87.1%
Defensive zone
Kempe 56.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 72.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Kempe
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kempe
Jooris
Last 5: Kempe 1-4 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
2
Kempe
Jooris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
2
Kempe
Jooris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (1,865)
48.6% (1,221)
-8.3%
Power Play
44.3% (201)
61.0% (41)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
39.4% (175)
+4.0%
On power play, Jooris has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Kempe is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (778).
Kempe shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jooris
Home
42.6% (1,033)
49.0% (786)
Away
39.0% (1,086)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Kempe
Jooris
P1
39.7%
47.5%
P2
40.2%
44.3%
P3
42.4%
51.3%
OT
37.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
37.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
40.7%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |