Scouting Report
Josh Jooris holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Jooris 48.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 89.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 60.6%
Neutral zone
Kempe 75.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Kempe
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kempe
Jooris
Last 5: Kempe 1-4 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
1
2
Kempe
Jooris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
2
Kempe
Jooris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
48.6% (1,221)
-8.4%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
61.0% (41)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
39.4% (175)
+3.2%
On power play, Jooris has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Jooris is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jooris
Home
42.4% (1,045)
49.0% (786)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Kempe
Jooris
P1
39.5%
47.5%
P2
40.1%
44.3%
P3
42.2%
51.3%
OT
37.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
37.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |