Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Brodziak 49.7% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 89.3%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 62.6%
Neutral zone
Kempe 73.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Kempe
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Kempe
Brodziak
Last 10: Kempe 4-6 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
5
2
Kempe
Brodziak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
5
Kempe
Brodziak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
5
Kempe
Brodziak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
50.5% (6,432)
-10.3%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
52.8% (326)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
45.5% (1,344)
-2.9%
On even strength, Brodziak has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Kempe
Brodziak
Home
42.4% (1,045)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Kempe
Brodziak
P1
39.5%
49.2%
P2
40.1%
50.7%
P3
42.2%
49.5%
OT
37.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |