Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.1% vs Turris 50.3% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 65.0%
Defensive zone
Kempe 67.7%
Neutral zone
Kempe 69.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Kempe
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Kempe
Turris
Last 10: Kempe 6-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
6
Kempe
Turris
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
6
3
Kempe
Turris
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
3
5
Kempe
Turris
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (1,865)
50.2% (7,653)
-9.9%
Power Play
44.3% (201)
52.4% (1,312)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
48.6% (580)
-5.2%
On even strength, Turris has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Kempe is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (778).
Kempe shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Kempe
Turris
Home
42.6% (1,033)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
39.0% (1,086)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Kempe
Turris
P1
39.7%
51.5%
P2
40.2%
50.8%
P3
42.4%
48.4%
OT
37.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
40.7%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 24, 2017 | OT | 01:11 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |