Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 41.1%). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Necas 41.9% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 53.1%
Defensive zone
Kempe 51.1%
Neutral zone
Necas 50.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Kempe
Necas
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
40.7% (797)
-0.5%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
40.0% (135)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
54.1% (37)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Home / Away
Kempe
Necas
Home
42.4% (1,045)
39.2% (492)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
43.0% (477)
By Period
Kempe
Necas
P1
39.5%
39.9%
P2
40.1%
40.6%
P3
42.2%
43.3%
OT
37.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
37.2%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%