Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Zuccarello 48.5% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 52.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 54.8%
Neutral zone
Zuccarello 50.1%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Kempe
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (86)
43.8% (32)
-4.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
50.0% (4)
-15.4%
On power play, Zuccarello has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Kempe is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Kempe shoots left. Zuccarello is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zuccarello
Home
38.9% (54)
30.0% (20)
Away
37.7% (61)
62.5% (16)
By Period
Kempe
Zuccarello
P1
40.5%
42.1%
P2
38.5%
36.4%
P3
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
38.3%
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%