Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 26.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 85.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 72.6%
Neutral zone
Kempe 78.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Kempe
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Kempe
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Kempe
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Kempe
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Kempe
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (86)
53.8% (591)
-14.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
47.4% (38)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
43.6% (117)
-10.3%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Kempe is 26.1% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Kempe shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zibanejad
Home
38.9% (54)
48.2% (307)
Away
37.7% (61)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Kempe
Zibanejad
P1
40.5%
54.0%
P2
38.5%
51.0%
P3
33.3%
50.6%
OT
42.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
40.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
38.3%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |