Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 90.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 74.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 79.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Kempe
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Kempe
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Kempe
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Kempe
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Kempe
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
53.4% (770)
-15.2%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
46.2% (39)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.7% (141)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zibanejad
Home
36.4% (66)
49.0% (429)
Away
35.5% (76)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Kempe
Zibanejad
P1
37.3%
53.0%
P2
36.7%
51.1%
P3
31.4%
51.0%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |