Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 91.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 86.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 89.6%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Kempe
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Kempe
Zibanejad
Last 10: Kempe 1-9 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kempe
Zibanejad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Kempe
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
5
Kempe
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
50.9% (11,719)
-10.7%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
52.2% (1,849)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
41.5% (1,790)
+1.1%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zibanejad
Home
42.4% (1,045)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Kempe
Zibanejad
P1
39.5%
50.4%
P2
40.1%
49.7%
P3
42.2%
49.8%
OT
37.0%
48.7%
Final 5 min
37.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 4, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |