Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 46.2% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 50.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Kempe
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kempe
Zibanejad
Last 6: Kempe 3-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Kempe
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (131)
52.8% (767)
-8.5%
Power Play
30.8% (13)
62.6% (107)
-31.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
28.9% (76)
+26.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Kempe is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Kempe shoots left. Zibanejad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Kempe
Zibanejad
Home
49.6% (113)
51.0% (500)
Away
27.5% (40)
53.1% (450)
By Period
Kempe
Zibanejad
P1
43.9%
54.2%
P2
44.0%
53.6%
P3
43.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
43.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |