Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Granlund 48.4% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 53.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 80.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 71.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Kempe
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kempe
Granlund
Last 5: Kempe 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Kempe
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
48.7% (446)
-10.5%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
56.6% (99)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
31.1% (61)
-6.1%
On power play, Granlund has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Kempe
Granlund
Home
36.4% (66)
53.3% (255)
Away
35.5% (76)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Kempe
Granlund
P1
37.3%
51.3%
P2
36.7%
48.8%
P3
31.4%
44.4%
OT
42.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |