Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Bjugstad 50.8% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 68.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 86.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 82.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Kempe
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kempe
Bjugstad
Last 7: Kempe 5-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Kempe
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
0
Kempe
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
46.9% (194)
-8.8%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
59.2% (103)
-17.1%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kempe is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Kempe shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Kempe
Bjugstad
Home
39.1% (312)
47.7% (149)
Away
38.0% (371)
54.4% (149)
By Period
Kempe
Bjugstad
P1
39.4%
44.0%
P2
37.7%
53.5%
P3
39.0%
53.3%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
30.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |