Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 77.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 72.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 51.1%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Kempe
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Kempe
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
48.9% (280)
-10.7%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
50.0% (6)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.2% (36)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Kempe
Bjugstad
Home
36.4% (66)
48.4% (190)
Away
35.5% (76)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Kempe
Bjugstad
P1
37.3%
41.7%
P2
36.7%
56.6%
P3
31.4%
48.7%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |