Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 44.0% vs Bonino 52.3% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 91.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 74.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 78.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Kempe
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kempe
Bonino
Last 7: Kempe 1-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Kempe
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Kempe
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (201)
52.0% (717)
-13.7%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
62.7% (67)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
50.7% (144)
-0.7%
On power play, Kempe has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Kempe is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Kempe shoots left. Bonino is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Kempe
Bonino
Home
39.2% (102)
54.8% (429)
Away
43.0% (121)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Kempe
Bonino
P1
35.9%
53.5%
P2
37.2%
49.5%
P3
50.0%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
40.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |