Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 96.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 86.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 94.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Kempe
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
16
(22 meetings)
6
16
Kempe
Bonino
Last 10: Kempe 2-8 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
9
Kempe
Bonino
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
5
Kempe
Bonino
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
50.6% (8,315)
-10.4%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
54.1% (972)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
44.6% (1,693)
-2.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Kempe
Bonino
Home
42.4% (1,045)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Kempe
Bonino
P1
39.5%
50.6%
P2
40.1%
48.5%
P3
42.2%
51.1%
OT
37.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
37.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |