Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Stastny 55.4% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 52.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 63.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Kempe
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
59.2% (370)
-12.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
40.9% (44)
+36.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
51.7% (58)
-31.7%
On power play, Kempe has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Kempe
Stastny
Home
60.0% (25)
57.7% (215)
Away
40.0% (25)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Kempe
Stastny
P1
57.9%
57.7%
P2
40.0%
54.2%
P3
50.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
30.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
50.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%