Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Faksa 53.2% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 66.2%
Defensive zone
Faksa 93.3%
Neutral zone
Faksa 82.8%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Kempe
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kempe
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Faksa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Kempe
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
56.4% (289)
-18.2%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
0.0% (2)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
49.2% (126)
-24.2%
On power play, Kempe has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Kempe
Faksa
Home
36.4% (66)
54.9% (182)
Away
35.5% (76)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Kempe
Faksa
P1
37.3%
61.1%
P2
36.7%
51.3%
P3
31.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |