Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Vrbata shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Vrbata 40.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vrbata 55.1%
Defensive zone
Kempe 61.5%
Neutral zone
Vrbata 55.3%
Result
Radim Vrbata favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Kempe
Vrbata
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kempe
Vrbata
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Vrbata
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Vrbata
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
34.2% (184)
+6.0%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
45.2% (42)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
50.0% (14)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Vrbata has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vrbata shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Vrbata is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Kempe
Vrbata
Home
42.4% (1,045)
32.3% (124)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
42.2% (116)
By Period
Kempe
Vrbata
P1
39.5%
31.0%
P2
40.1%
38.5%
P3
42.2%
43.8%
OT
37.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Vrbata
30.0%▼
36.0%
37.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |