Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Vrbata shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.1% vs Vrbata 40.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vrbata 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kempe 65.8%
Neutral zone
Vrbata 51.3%
Result
Radim Vrbata favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kempe
Vrbata
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kempe
Vrbata
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Vrbata
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Vrbata
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (1,865)
34.2% (184)
+6.1%
Power Play
44.3% (201)
45.2% (42)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
50.0% (14)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Vrbata has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vrbata shoots right. Kempe is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (778).
Kempe shoots left. Vrbata is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Kempe
Vrbata
Home
42.6% (1,033)
32.3% (124)
Away
39.0% (1,086)
42.2% (116)
By Period
Kempe
Vrbata
P1
39.7%
31.0%
P2
40.2%
38.5%
P3
42.4%
43.8%
OT
37.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
40.7%
Vrbata
30.0%▼
36.0%
37.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |