Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Poehling 47.0% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 51.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 65.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Kempe
Poehling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
45.1% (437)
+2.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
56.4% (39)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
61.5% (13)
-41.5%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Kempe
Poehling
Home
60.0% (25)
46.6% (232)
Away
40.0% (25)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Kempe
Poehling
P1
57.9%
43.9%
P2
40.0%
49.1%
P3
50.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
30.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
50.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%