Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Kuraly 53.2% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 92.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 69.7%
Neutral zone
Kempe 82.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Kempe
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kempe
Kuraly
Last 6: Kempe 1-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Kempe
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Kempe
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
54.5% (464)
-11.9%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
0.0% (1)
+42.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
50.0% (66)
-5.6%
On power play, Kempe has a +42.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kempe is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Kempe shoots left. Kuraly is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Kempe
Kuraly
Home
43.6% (369)
52.3% (281)
Away
41.6% (370)
55.6% (250)
By Period
Kempe
Kuraly
P1
40.0%
56.0%
P2
44.3%
60.8%
P3
43.6%
44.3%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |