Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 89.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 51.6%
Neutral zone
Kempe 72.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Kempe
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kempe
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Kempe
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Kempe
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (49)
49.2% (901)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
49.8% (219)
-49.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +49.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kempe is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Kempe shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Kempe
Kuraly
Home
11.1% (9)
51.7% (603)
Away
35.7% (42)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Kempe
Kuraly
P1
22.2%
50.9%
P2
33.3%
49.5%
P3
25.0%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
7.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
31.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |