Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 50.0% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 56.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Kempe
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (36)
51.5% (641)
-4.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
62.8% (129)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
33.3% (9)
-13.3%
On power play, Kempe has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kempe is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kempe shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Kempe
Monahan
Home
60.0% (25)
53.9% (362)
Away
40.0% (25)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Kempe
Monahan
P1
57.9%
48.0%
P2
40.0%
57.0%
P3
50.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
30.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
50.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%