Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Crosby 52.9% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 94.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 93.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 87.5%
12.5%
87.5%
Kempe
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kempe
Crosby
Last 7: Kempe 5-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
4
1
Kempe
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kempe
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
52.5% (1,479)
-14.4%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
55.7% (397)
-13.6%
On even strength, Crosby has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Kempe shoots left. Crosby is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Kempe
Crosby
Home
39.1% (312)
54.9% (993)
Away
38.0% (371)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Kempe
Crosby
P1
39.4%
52.2%
P2
37.7%
53.2%
P3
39.0%
53.4%
OT
25.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
30.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |