Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Crosby 53.5% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 54.7%
Defensive zone
Crosby 53.4%
Neutral zone
Kempe 50.1%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kempe
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Kempe
Crosby
Last 10: Kempe 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
5
3
Kempe
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Kempe
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
52.8% (17,990)
-12.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
57.4% (4,733)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
47.1% (765)
-4.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Kempe
Crosby
Home
42.4% (1,045)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Kempe
Crosby
P1
39.5%
53.6%
P2
40.1%
53.9%
P3
42.2%
53.3%
OT
37.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
37.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |