Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Crosby 55.1% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 83.8%
Defensive zone
Kempe 80.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 82.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Kempe
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kempe
Crosby
Last 5: Kempe 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Kempe
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kempe
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kempe
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
54.7% (1,423)
-12.1%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
62.1% (327)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
40.8% (76)
+3.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kempe is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Kempe shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Kempe
Crosby
Home
43.6% (369)
56.2% (907)
Away
41.6% (370)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Kempe
Crosby
P1
40.0%
55.7%
P2
44.3%
55.0%
P3
43.6%
54.9%
OT
37.5%
70.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |