Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +19.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Nosek 56.9% (-19.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 75.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 80.7%
Neutral zone
Kempe 81.6%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Kempe
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kempe
Nosek
Last 5: Kempe 1-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Kempe
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
63.4% (112)
-20.8%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
50.0% (6)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
57.1% (14)
-12.7%
On even strength, Nosek has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kempe is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Kempe shoots left. Nosek is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Kempe
Nosek
Home
43.6% (369)
56.7% (67)
Away
41.6% (370)
67.7% (65)
By Period
Kempe
Nosek
P1
40.0%
57.5%
P2
44.3%
65.5%
P3
43.6%
61.8%
Final 5 min
43.6%
71.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |