Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Nosek 53.6% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 84.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.6%
Neutral zone
Kempe 66.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Kempe
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Kempe
Nosek
Last 10: Kempe 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Kempe
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Kempe
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kempe
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
54.9% (2,674)
-14.7%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
44.7% (47)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
47.4% (424)
-4.8%
On even strength, Nosek has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Kempe
Nosek
Home
42.4% (1,045)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Kempe
Nosek
P1
39.5%
52.3%
P2
40.1%
54.0%
P3
42.2%
54.6%
OT
37.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |