Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 44.0% vs Nosek 50.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 75.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 67.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 67.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Kempe
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kempe
Nosek
Last 7: Kempe 2-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Kempe
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Kempe
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (201)
51.2% (377)
-12.9%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
50.0% (10)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
41.3% (46)
+8.7%
On power play, Kempe has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kempe is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Kempe shoots left. Nosek is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Kempe
Nosek
Home
39.2% (102)
48.3% (240)
Away
43.0% (121)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Kempe
Nosek
P1
35.9%
48.4%
P2
37.2%
51.4%
P3
50.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
40.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |