Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (35.9% vs 35.4%). Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Konecny shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Konecny 45.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 62.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 55.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 56.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Kempe
Konecny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Konecny
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Konecny
0
1
Kempe
Konecny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Konecny
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
36.4% (33)
+1.8%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
11.1% (9)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
66.7% (6)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Konecny has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konecny shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Konecny is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Kempe
Konecny
Home
36.4% (66)
26.7% (30)
Away
35.5% (76)
50.0% (18)
By Period
Kempe
Konecny
P1
37.3%
30.4%
P2
36.7%
41.2%
P3
31.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Konecny
36.0%▼
40.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Travis Konecny |