Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 39.9%). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Konecny shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Konecny 41.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Konecny 59.0%
Defensive zone
Kempe 63.7%
Neutral zone
Konecny 50.2%
Result
Travis Konecny favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Kempe
Konecny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Konecny
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Konecny
0
1
Kempe
Konecny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Konecny
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
39.7% (360)
+0.5%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
37.7% (61)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
46.7% (30)
-4.1%
On power play, Kempe has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konecny shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Konecny is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Kempe
Konecny
Home
42.4% (1,045)
36.8% (239)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
43.4% (212)
By Period
Kempe
Konecny
P1
39.5%
38.0%
P2
40.1%
37.3%
P3
42.2%
47.0%
OT
37.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Konecny
36.0%▼
40.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Travis Konecny |