Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Quine wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Quine 47.2% vs Ryan 55.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Quine 77.7%
Defensive zone
Quine 79.5%
Neutral zone
Quine 79.8%
Result
Alan Quine favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Quine
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Quine
Ryan
Last 9: Quine 2-7 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Quine
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Quine
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
3
Quine
Ryan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Quine
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (644)
56.6% (4,102)
-9.4%
Power Play
54.5% (33)
53.2% (342)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
47.8% (649)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Quine is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Quine shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Quine
Ryan
Home
54.1% (303)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
41.5% (410)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Quine
Ryan
P1
45.7%
55.1%
P2
46.3%
54.7%
P3
48.9%
56.0%
OT
0.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Quine
42.0%▲
39.5%
46.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Alan Quine |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Alan Quine |