Scouting Report
Alan Quine holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Quine wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Quine 52.4% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 62.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 70.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 65.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Quine
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Quine
O'Reilly
Last 7: Quine 4-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Quine
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Quine
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Quine
1
0
Quine
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Quine
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
68.8% (16)
56.9% (1,203)
+11.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.2% (329)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.4% (280)
-0.4%
On even strength, Quine has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Quine is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Quine shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Quine
O'Reilly
Home
61.5% (26)
58.6% (879)
Away
0.0% (0)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Quine
O'Reilly
P1
72.7%
55.6%
P2
37.5%
57.9%
P3
71.4%
55.7%
Final 5 min
77.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Quine
42.0%▲
39.5%
61.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Alan Quine |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Alan Quine |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Alan Quine |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Alan Quine |