Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Quine 47.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Quine 93.2%
Defensive zone
Quine 86.0%
Neutral zone
Quine 86.2%
Result
Alan Quine favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Quine
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Quine
O'Reilly
Last 10: Quine 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
9
Quine
O'Reilly
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Quine
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Quine
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Quine
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (644)
56.2% (15,260)
-9.0%
Power Play
54.5% (33)
58.8% (3,445)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
51.4% (2,811)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Quine is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Quine shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Quine
O'Reilly
Home
54.1% (303)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
41.5% (410)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Quine
O'Reilly
P1
45.7%
55.6%
P2
46.3%
57.0%
P3
48.9%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Quine
42.0%▲
39.5%
46.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Alan Quine |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Alan Quine |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Alan Quine |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Alan Quine |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Alan Quine |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Alan Quine |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Alan Quine |