Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lee on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.5% vs Lee 49.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 70.9%
Defensive zone
Barkov 81.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 51.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Barkov
Lee
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Barkov
Lee
Last 6: Barkov 3-3 Lee
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lee
0
3
Barkov
Lee
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Lee
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Lee
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (1,377)
49.3% (75)
+5.2%
Power Play
54.7% (340)
47.5% (80)
+7.2%
On power play, Barkov has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lee shoots left. Barkov is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,222).
Barkov shoots left. Lee is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Barkov
Lee
Home
54.5% (948)
53.1% (81)
Away
52.9% (991)
43.2% (74)
By Period
Barkov
Lee
P1
55.2%
48.1%
P2
54.2%
44.2%
P3
52.3%
52.1%
OT
43.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.7%
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Anders Lee |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |