Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Lee 49.1% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lee 63.9%
Defensive zone
Barkov 75.9%
Neutral zone
Lee 53.5%
Result
Anders Lee favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Barkov
Lee
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barkov
Lee
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Lee
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Lee
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
45.5% (101)
+11.5%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
57.6% (33)
+6.2%
On even strength, Barkov has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lee shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Lee is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Barkov
Lee
Home
59.2% (557)
49.2% (59)
Away
55.1% (695)
48.0% (75)
By Period
Barkov
Lee
P1
56.7%
40.0%
P2
54.8%
56.9%
P3
59.7%
50.0%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Lee
54.0%▲
51.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Anders Lee |