Aleksander Barkov vs Anthony Cirelli
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cirelli shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Cirelli 50.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 75.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 79.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 62.9%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Barkov
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Barkov
Cirelli
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Cirelli
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Cirelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
5
Barkov
Cirelli
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
49.9% (1,052)
+5.6%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
54.9% (82)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
48.7% (158)
-2.0%
On power play, Barkov has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Home / Away
Barkov
Cirelli
Home
56.4% (550)
46.7% (649)
Away
56.7% (476)
53.5% (643)
By Period
Barkov
Cirelli
P1
56.5%
50.1%
P2
55.5%
51.1%
P3
57.9%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
58.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |